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Toronto Home Prices Decline for Second Consecutive Month Amid Increased Seller Listings

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Toronto Home Prices Decline as Sellers Increase Listings

Toronto's real estate market experienced a second consecutive month of declining home prices as more property owners decided to sell. According to data released by the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board, the benchmark price of a house in Canada's largest city dropped by 0.8% in September, following a 0.2% decline the previous month. This slowdown in the market is evident in the decrease in sales, with September seeing a 1.8% decline to just 5,205 transactions, the lowest in six months when adjusted for seasonal factors.

Factors Contributing to the Decline

The decline in Toronto's real estate market can be attributed to several factors. Mortgage rates near 15-year highs have made it difficult for buyers to enter the market. Additionally, the latest inflation report showed an acceleration in consumer price increases, prompting a warning from a Bank of Canada official about the ongoing challenge of taming inflation. These factors, coupled with the lack of improvement in interest rates, have prompted more homeowners to list their properties for sale.

Increased Listings

In September, new listings jumped by 11% compared to the previous month, marking the sixth consecutive month of increased listings on a seasonally adjusted basis. This surge in listings has created a more balanced market, giving buyers more negotiating power in the short term.
Future Outlook
Despite the current decline in home prices, it is expected that borrowing costs will remain elevated until the middle of 2024. Investors in the rates market anticipate a higher probability of the Bank of Canada raising its policy rate again before the end of the year. Fixed-rate mortgages, which are tied to Canadian government bonds, are also under pressure as the yield on 5-year government debt has reached its highest level since October 2007. In conclusion, the decline in Toronto's home prices and the increase in seller listings reflect the current challenges in the real estate market. Buyers may have more negotiating power in the short term, but the future outlook suggests that borrowing costs and mortgage rates may remain elevated for the foreseeable future.

A Hot Take on the Decline of Toronto Home Prices and its Impact on New Businesses

The ongoing decline in Toronto's home prices, coupled with an increase in property listings, presents a unique challenge for new businesses in the real estate industry. With the benchmark price of a house in Toronto dropping for the second consecutive month, it's clear that the market is experiencing a significant slowdown.

Understanding the Market Shift

This shift can be attributed to several factors, including near 15-year high mortgage rates and accelerating consumer price increases. These conditions have made it difficult for buyers to enter the market, prompting more homeowners to list their properties for sale.

Opportunities Amidst Challenges

However, this increase in listings has also created a more balanced market, presenting new businesses with an opportunity to leverage buyers' increased negotiating power.
Preparing for the Future
Despite the current market conditions, it's crucial for new businesses to prepare for the future. Borrowing costs are expected to remain high until mid-2024, and the likelihood of the Bank of Canada raising its policy rate again before the year ends is high. In conclusion, while the decline in Toronto's home prices presents challenges, it also offers opportunities for new businesses to innovate and adapt. By understanding the market dynamics and preparing for future changes, new businesses can position themselves for success.
Story First Published at: https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/toronto-home-prices-drop-for-second-month-as-more-sellers-list
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