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Survey Finds China's Biggest Shopping Festival Set for Tepid 2023

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Chinese Consumers Expected to Curb Spending for Singles Day Shopping Festival

Survey Reveals Consumer Sentiment

A recent survey conducted by Bain and Company, involving over 3,000 consumers in China, indicates that the majority of consumers are planning to limit their spending during this year's Singles Day shopping festival. Originally a one-day event launched by Alibaba, Singles Day has evolved into a multi-week period of shopping promotions across various online platforms in China. However, the survey findings suggest that excitement for the festival has diminished, with nearly half of the respondents indicating a preference for cheaper brands or private label products.

Consumer Spending Trends

According to the report, more than three-fourths of the surveyed consumers (77%) stated that they do not plan to increase their spending for this year's festival. This figure is slightly higher than the 76% reported last year and significantly up from 49% in 2021. Slowing economic growth and concerns about future income have contributed to a more cautious approach to spending among Chinese consumers. James Yang, a partner at Bain, highlighted the impact of the broader macroeconomy and the increased cost-consciousness among consumers in their spending decisions.

Expectations for the Festival

In anticipation of the festival, Bain's Yang predicts that there will likely be an increase in the stocking up of consumables this year. However, last year's disclosure of the Singles Day gross merchandise value was declined by both Alibaba and JD.com for the first time. Bain estimates that the e-commerce gross merchandise value (GMV) for Singles Day rose by 3% to 934 billion yuan ($128.25 billion) in 2022. When factoring in livestreaming and content-led e-commerce, the total GMV for the festival exceeded 1 trillion yuan ($140 billion).

The Influence of Livestreaming

Livestreaming and social media platforms have become significant avenues for product sales in China. Alibaba, JD.com, and Douyin (the Chinese version of TikTok) all offer livestreaming functions, attracting both individuals and retailers to connect with consumers through interactive livestreams. Bain's Yang expects the livestreaming trend to continue growing, highlighting its increasing share in the market.

Varied Consumer Behavior

Different segments of consumers exhibit varying spending patterns. Those with higher incomes generally continue to spend, while the blue-collar segment of the population tends to cut back. The middle class fluctuates between these extremes, displaying a more cautious approach to their purchasing decisions. Consumers are carefully considering their trade-offs and prioritizing their purchases in light of economic uncertainties. — Reporting contributed by Darla Mercado

Implications of Singles Day Spending Trends on New Business Formation

The recent survey by Bain and Company revealing a potential spending curb by Chinese consumers during the Singles Day shopping festival has significant implications for new businesses entering the Chinese market. The shift towards cheaper brands and private label products, as indicated by nearly half of the survey respondents, suggests a changing consumer landscape that new businesses must navigate.

Understanding Consumer Spending Patterns

The report's findings that 77% of consumers do not plan to increase their spending for the festival, up from 49% in 2021, highlight a growing trend of cautious spending. This trend, influenced by slowing economic growth and concerns about future income, underscores the need for new businesses to offer value-driven products and services to appeal to cost-conscious consumers.

Adapting to Changing Shopping Trends

Despite the predicted decrease in spending, the survey suggests an increase in stocking up of consumables during the festival. New businesses must be prepared to adapt their strategies to cater to these changing shopping trends. The decline in disclosure of Singles Day gross merchandise value by major players like Alibaba and JD.com further emphasizes the need for businesses to stay agile and responsive to market changes.

Leveraging Livestreaming and Social Media Platforms

The increasing significance of livestreaming and social media platforms in product sales in China presents a unique opportunity for new businesses. By leveraging these platforms, businesses can connect with consumers in a more interactive and engaging way, potentially offsetting some of the impacts of cautious consumer spending.

Addressing Varied Consumer Behavior

The survey also highlights varying spending patterns among different consumer segments. New businesses must be prepared to address these variations, offering products and services that cater to the needs of high-income consumers while also appealing to more cautious middle-class and blue-collar consumers. Understanding and addressing these varied consumer behaviors will be crucial for new businesses to succeed in the evolving Chinese market.
Story First Published at: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/07/chinas-singles-day-shopping-festival-set-for-tepid-2023-bain-survey.html
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