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Risks to Gas Supply in Europe Increase with Lower Flows from Norway

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Concerns Mount as Lower Norwegian Gas Exports Add to Risks in European Supply

European natural gas prices continue to rise due to a decline in Norwegian exports and ongoing concerns about potential disruptions at Australian export facilities. Benchmark futures saw an increase of up to 4.1% on Monday, following a nearly 9% jump at the end of the previous week. The market has been on edge due to labor disputes in Australia, a major producer of liquefied natural gas (LNG), which could result in strikes and limit global supplies during a critical period as Europe prepares for winter. The slump in Norwegian exports, with flows from the Troll field halted for planned maintenance, has further exacerbated the situation. Additional maintenance work at fields connected to the UK has also impacted supply. Despite high stockpiles and subdued demand, gas prices have risen by approximately 25% this month, reflecting the market's concerns following the worst energy crisis in decades. Potential disruptions in Australia may lead to increased competition between Asia and Europe for replacement LNG cargoes from the US or Qatar. The situation remains uncertain as unions vote on whether to endorse strikes at an LNG facility operated by Chevron Corp.

The Impact of Rising Gas Prices and Supply Risks on New Businesses

The escalating gas prices and potential supply disruptions in Europe could have far-reaching implications for new businesses, particularly those in energy-dependent sectors.

Increased Operational Costs

The rise in gas prices, driven by reduced Norwegian exports and potential disruptions in Australia, could lead to increased operational costs for businesses. This could particularly impact startups and small businesses that may already be operating on tight margins.

Supply Chain Disruptions

The uncertainty surrounding gas supply could also lead to disruptions in the supply chain. Businesses that rely on a steady supply of gas for their operations may need to explore alternative sources or contingency plans.
Competition for Resources
If disruptions in Australia occur, Europe may find itself competing with Asia for replacement LNG cargoes from the US or Qatar. This could further drive up prices and exacerbate supply issues.

Opportunities for Innovation

While these challenges are significant, they could also present opportunities for innovation. Businesses that can offer solutions to mitigate these risks, such as alternative energy sources or energy efficiency technologies, may find a receptive market in this uncertain climate. In conclusion, while the current gas supply risks pose challenges, they also highlight the need for resilience and innovation in the business sector.
Story First Published at: https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/europe-gas-advances-as-lower-norway-flows-add-to-supply-risks
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