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Predicting Your Potential Pay Raise for Next Year: Here's What to Expect

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Predicting Pay Raises for Next Year: What to Expect

Canadian workers can anticipate a boost in their salaries next year, although it is unlikely to be as substantial as the pay increases seen in 2023. Many companies are planning to offer salary hikes in 2024, with average increases ranging between 3.3% and 3.7% for non-unionized positions. This projection is based on compensation research conducted by companies such as Mercer Canada Ltd., Telus Health, and Robert Half Canada Inc.

Factors Influencing Pay Raises

The likelihood of pay raises is attributed to high inflation and the ongoing tightness of the labor market. However, the projected increases are not as high as those seen in previous years. In 2023, the average boost to base salaries was 4.22%, and the planned merit increases of 3.3% in 2024 fall short of the 3.6% increases implemented this year. The slowing economy may further impact salary budgets, potentially reducing the amount companies allocate to compensation.

Labor Market Dynamics and Employee Concerns

Despite the potential for pay raises, labor shortages continue to affect certain sectors, giving employees an advantage in negotiations. Rising inflation has heightened concerns among workers, with many worried that inflation will outpace any salary increases they receive. Some employees are even considering seeking new job opportunities if they do not receive the desired pay hike next year. In conclusion, while Canadian workers can expect pay raises next year, the increases may not be as substantial as in previous years. Labor market dynamics, inflation, and economic conditions all play a role in shaping these projections. Employees may need to consider additional factors such as perks, benefits, and workplace flexibility when evaluating their overall compensation package.

Hot Take: The Impact of Predicted Pay Raises on New Businesses

The anticipated salary increases for Canadian workers next year, although not as significant as those seen in 2023, present a critical consideration for new businesses. Companies are expected to offer pay hikes in 2024, with average increases projected between 3.3% and 3.7% for non-unionized positions.

Challenges in Budgeting and Compensation Planning

For new businesses, these projections may pose challenges in budgeting and compensation planning. The likelihood of pay raises, driven by high inflation and labor market tightness, could strain the financial resources of new businesses. The slowing economy may further impact salary budgets, potentially necessitating a reduction in the amount allocated to compensation.

Attracting and Retaining Talent

Moreover, labor shortages in certain sectors could give employees an upper hand in negotiations, making it more challenging for new businesses to attract and retain talent. Rising inflation and concerns about it outpacing salary increases could lead to higher employee turnover, with some workers considering new job opportunities if they do not receive the desired pay hike. In conclusion, the predicted pay raises for next year, while beneficial for workers, present significant challenges for new businesses. These businesses will need to navigate labor market dynamics, inflation, and economic conditions, while also considering additional factors such as perks, benefits, and workplace flexibility to attract and retain talent.
Story First Published at: https://financialpost.com/fp-work/pay-raise-next-year-how-much
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