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Oil Prices Rise as Global Deficit Outlook Points to Final Quarter

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Oil Prices Rise on Outlook for Global Deficit in Final Quarter

Oil prices have started the new quarter on a positive note, edging higher on the belief that global demand is outpacing supply. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil surpassed $91 a barrel after experiencing a 29% surge in the third quarter, marking the largest gain for that period in nearly two decades. Trading volumes may be limited due to holidays in several Asia-Pacific nations on Monday. The rally in oil prices can be attributed to various factors, including production cuts by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, Russia's ban on diesel exports, and a decline in crude stockpiles at the Cushing hub in Oklahoma. Speculation of a return to $100-a-barrel pricing has also resurfaced. However, analysts suggest that oil prices may enter a consolidation phase as further cues are awaited. The Adipec summit in Abu Dhabi, a significant energy conference, is expected to provide fresh insights into the crude market's future. Key speakers at the event include the UAE's energy minister and the secretary-general of OPEC. Various indicators point to tighter conditions, including WTI's prompt spread, which is exhibiting a bullish pattern.

Implications of Rising Oil Prices for New Businesses

The rise in oil prices, driven by the belief that global demand is outpacing supply, has significant implications for new businesses. The surge in West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices to over $91 a barrel presents both challenges and opportunities.

Impact on Operating Costs

For new businesses, particularly those in sectors heavily reliant on energy, higher oil prices could lead to increased operating costs. This could affect profitability, especially for businesses with thin margins. It's crucial for these businesses to consider energy-efficient practices and alternative energy sources to mitigate this impact.

Opportunities in the Energy Sector

On the flip side, the bullish oil market could present opportunities for businesses in the energy sector. The speculation of a return to $100-a-barrel pricing could spur investment and innovation in oil exploration and production.
Market Uncertainty
The current rally in oil prices also underscores the volatility and uncertainty in the global economy. As analysts suggest a potential consolidation phase for oil prices, new businesses must stay abreast of market trends and adjust their strategies accordingly. The upcoming Adipec summit in Abu Dhabi, a key energy conference, could provide important insights for businesses navigating this dynamic market.
Story First Published at: https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/oil-edges-higher-on-outlook-for-global-deficit-in-final-quarter
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