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Goldman Sachs Predicts 70% Potential Gain for Blood Cancer Treatment Stock Prior to Drug Launch

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Goldman Sachs Predicts Potential Surge for Geron's Blood Cancer Treatment Stock

Goldman Sachs has revised its outlook on late-stage biotech company Geron, anticipating a potential surge in stock value. Analyst Corinne Jenkins upgraded Geron's rating from neutral to buy, while maintaining a price target of $4. This target suggests a remarkable 70.1% upside for the stock from Monday's closing price. Jenkins emphasized the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's acceptance of Geron's new drug application for imetelstat, a treatment for transfusion-dependent anemia in lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS).

Positive Regulatory Outlook

The FDA's acceptance of Geron's application indicates a decision on the drug's approval is expected in mid-June of next year. This timeline suggests that the drug could potentially be launched in the U.S. by the end of the first half of 2024. Jenkins expressed confidence in imetelstat's approval, estimating unadjusted peak sales of $1.5 billion based on data review, conversations with key opinion leaders (KOLs), and regulatory precedent. The recent pullback in Geron's shares presents an attractive buying opportunity, according to Jenkins.

Market Challenges and Analyst Confidence

Geron's stock has experienced significant declines this year, with a 27% drop in the current quarter and 3.3% year-to-date losses. Investor disappointment stemmed from the FDA's decision to review Geron's MDS drug through the "standard review" process rather than prioritizing it. Additionally, regulatory authorities are conducting an advisory committee meeting as part of the review process, contributing to negative sentiment. However, Jenkins reassured investors that the meeting is not inherently a negative signal for approval. The analyst's confidence in imetelstat's approval is supported by discussions with physicians who perceive a high likelihood of approval based on publicly available data. They consider the treatment's efficacy, manageable safety profile, and the significant unmet need in the targeted patient population. In summary, Goldman Sachs' positive outlook on Geron's blood cancer treatment stock is driven by the FDA's acceptance of the drug application and the potential for approval. Despite recent market challenges, the firm maintains confidence in imetelstat's prospects and views the stock's pullback as an opportunity for investors. As the regulatory process unfolds, Geron's stock performance will be closely monitored by market participants and industry observers.

Conclusion: Implications for New Businesses

The potential surge in Geron's stock value, as predicted by Goldman Sachs, offers several insights for new businesses, especially those in the biotech sector.

Regulatory Approval and Market Perception

The FDA's acceptance of Geron's drug application and the potential for its approval underscore the significant impact of regulatory decisions on a company's market value. For new businesses, this emphasizes the importance of aligning their products or services with regulatory standards and expectations.
Investor Confidence and Market Opportunities
Despite Geron's recent stock decline, Goldman Sachs' upgrade of the company's rating from neutral to buy demonstrates how market challenges can present buying opportunities. This suggests that new businesses should not be deterred by temporary setbacks but should instead focus on the long-term potential of their offerings. In a nutshell, the anticipated surge in Geron's stock value highlights the role of regulatory approval and investor confidence in determining a company's market performance. For new businesses, these factors should be key considerations in their strategic planning and decision-making processes. By aligning with regulatory standards and maintaining investor confidence, new businesses can enhance their market position and growth prospects.
Story First Published at: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/12/goldman-sachs-says-this-blood-cancer-treatment-stock-can-gain-70percent.html
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