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Egypt Evaluates Effects of Israeli Gas-Field Suspension on LNG Exports

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Egypt Evaluates Impact of Israel Gas-Field Suspension on LNG Exports

Egyptian officials are assessing the consequences of the halt in production at Israel's Tamar gas field on their plans to resume liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe. The suspension has led to a decline of around 20% in Egypt's imports of Israeli gas, which now stand at approximately 650 million cubic feet per day. Israel ordered the shutdown of the Tamar gas field due to safety concerns amid escalating conflict with Hamas. However, the Israeli government has not informed Egypt of any halt in production at the larger Leviathan gas field. Egypt's oil minister recently announced the country's intention to resume LNG exports this month, following a hiatus during the summer. The halt in production at Tamar could potentially result in lower shipments to European buyers who rely on alternative gas sources, particularly during the winter heating season. Benchmark European gas futures have already experienced a significant increase in response to this development. While the duration of the outage remains uncertain, if the Leviathan gas field continues to operate and output is increased at the Karish field, Israeli gas should continue flowing to Egypt. However, the temporary suspension at Tamar poses challenges to Egypt's ambitions of becoming a regional gas hub, as its liquefaction plants experienced a slump in flows over the summer. In conclusion, the suspension of production at Israel's Tamar gas field has implications for Egypt's LNG exports and its aspirations to become a major regional gas supplier. The duration of the halt and the availability of alternative gas sources will significantly impact the situation.

Hot Take: The Impact of Israel's Gas-Field Suspension on New Egyptian Businesses

The halt in production at Israel's Tamar gas field and its potential impact on Egypt's plans to resume LNG exports to Europe could have significant implications for new businesses in Egypt, particularly those in the energy sector.

Disruptions in Supply Chains

The suspension could disrupt supply chains, affecting businesses that rely on a steady supply of natural gas. New businesses in the manufacturing and industrial sectors, which heavily depend on energy, could face operational challenges due to potential energy shortages.

Increased Energy Costs

The halt in production could also lead to increased energy costs, as Egypt might have to source gas from more expensive suppliers. This could increase operational costs for businesses, affecting their profitability and competitiveness.
Opportunities for Renewable Energy Businesses
On a positive note, the situation could present opportunities for businesses in the renewable energy sector. As traditional energy sources become unreliable, there could be an increased demand for renewable energy solutions. In conclusion, while the suspension of production at Israel's Tamar gas field poses challenges, it also opens up opportunities for new businesses in Egypt. It underscores the need for businesses to have contingency plans and to explore alternative energy sources.
Story First Published at: https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/egypt-weighs-impact-of-israel-gas-field-halt-on-lng-exports
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