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Market Veteran Predicts Bull Market and Potential 20% Climb for S&P 500
New Bull Market Anticipated
Market veteran Ed Yardeni believes that we are already in a new bull market and that the S&P 500 could potentially climb nearly 20% in the next 18 months. He predicts that this bull run, which began on October 12, 2022, will continue through at least the end of 2024. According to Yardeni, the equity benchmark could reach a record high somewhere between 4,800 and 5,400. This target range represents a gain of between 6.5% and 19.9% from the S&P 500's current level.
Rolling Recovery and Relief Rally
Yardeni refers to the current state of the economy as a "rolling recovery," indicating that the market could keep chugging along. He suggests that the recent relief rally in the market was due to softer-than-expected inflation data. Yardeni praises the central bank for effectively bringing down inflation and believes that the latest reports could give the Federal Reserve some breathing room as it looks to ease inflation further. In June 2022, inflation hit around 9%, the highest since the early 1980s.
Concerns about Market Correction and Year-End Target
Despite his optimistic outlook, Yardeni expresses concerns about a potential market correction in the near term after the hot rally this year. The S&P 500 has already jumped more than 17% in 2022, and Yardeni warns against a melt-up followed by a meltdown. He emphasizes the importance of a civilized bull market rather than one that gets out of hand. Yardeni's year-end target for the S&P 500 is 4,600, which is above the average year-end forecast of 4,255 from Wall Street strategists.
Potential Implications for New Businesses in a Bull Market
Opportunities for Growth
The predictions made by market veteran Ed Yardeni about a new bull market and a potential 20% climb for the S&P 500 present new business owners with exciting opportunities for growth. A bull market typically signifies an overall positive sentiment in the market, leading to increased consumer spending and investor confidence. This favorable environment can be leveraged by new businesses to expand their operations, attract investors, and capitalize on the upward trend.
While a bull market provides opportunities for new businesses, it also brings increased competition. With a positive market sentiment, more entrepreneurs may be encouraged to start their ventures, heightening the competitive landscape. New businesses need to be prepared to differentiate themselves and offer unique value propositions to stand out and capture market share.
Risk of Market Correction
Yardeni's concerns about a potential market correction after a hot rally in 2022 should serve as a cautionary note for new businesses. While a bull market is generally favorable, it is important to be mindful of market volatility and the potential for downturns. New businesses should have solid contingency plans in place to navigate any potential market corrections and ensure their long-term sustainability.
In light of Yardeni's predictions, new businesses should focus on strategic planning to take advantage of the expected bull market and potential climb in the S&P 500. It is crucial to align business strategies with market trends and seize opportunities for growth. Monitoring market indicators, staying informed about changing consumer preferences, and adapting business models accordingly will be key to thriving in this optimistic market environment.
Seeking Professional Advice
Given the uncertainties and risks associated with the market, new business owners should consider seeking professional advice from financial advisors or market experts. These professionals can provide valuable insights and help develop strategies to navigate the bull market effectively, seize growth opportunities, and manage potential risks.
Overall, while a bull market presents new businesses with opportunities for growth, it is essential to approach it with careful planning, adaptability, and a keen awareness of market dynamics. By capitalizing on the positive market sentiment and making informed strategic decisions, new businesses can position themselves for success in a potentially thriving market environment.
Article First Published at: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/17/ed-yardeni-sees-sp-500-rising-to-a-record-as-high-as-5400-within-the-next-18-months.html