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BMO Predicts Canada Equity Issue Slump Has Ended

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Canada's Equity Issue Slump Shows Signs of Improvement, but Recovery Expected to Be Gradual

The freeze in Canada's equity capital markets may be thawing, according to Peter Miller, head of equity capital markets for BMO Capital Markets. While the worst of the slump is likely behind us, Miller does not anticipate a sudden surge in new issue activity. The challenging economic conditions and low stock prices have deterred potential issuers from selling new stock at lower prices. However, recent successful deals, such as Enbridge Inc.'s C$4.6 billion jumbo share sale, have raised hopes for a global rebound.

Slow Recovery and Investor Demand

BMO recently worked on three offerings across various industries, all of which were oversubscribed and performed well in the secondary market. This demonstrates strong investor demand. However, Miller advises against expecting a flurry of subsequent deals. The volume of new issues in 2023 has been relatively quiet, and businesses considering initial public offerings may be cautious due to the high valuations seen in 2021.

BMO's Role and Market Ranking

BMO has handled equity issues worth C$2.3 billion so far this year, including the joint bookrunner role in Enbridge's share sale. The bank ranks highly in equity and equity-linked offerings in Canada. Despite the signs of improvement, the overall recovery in Canada's equity capital markets is expected to be gradual. In conclusion, while there are indications of improvement in Canada's equity issue slump, the pace of recovery is likely to be slow. The recent successful deals and strong investor demand are positive signs, but caution remains among potential issuers. BMO's role in these offerings highlights its position in the market, but a significant wave of new issuances is not anticipated in the near term.

Implications of Canada's Gradual Equity Market Recovery for New Businesses

The gradual recovery of Canada's equity capital markets, as indicated by Peter Miller, head of equity capital markets for BMO Capital Markets, carries significant implications for new businesses. While the worst of the equity issue slump is seemingly over, new businesses must brace for a slow recovery, rather than a sudden surge in new issue activity.

Market Conditions and Business Strategy

The challenging economic conditions and low stock prices have deterred potential issuers from selling new stock at lower prices. This scenario necessitates new businesses to strategize carefully when considering initial public offerings or new stock issues. The recent successful deals, like Enbridge Inc.'s C$4.6 billion jumbo share sale, are encouraging, but businesses must remain cautious.

Investor Demand and Market Positioning

While there is strong investor demand, as demonstrated by the oversubscription of recent offerings handled by BMO, new businesses should not expect a flurry of subsequent deals. The market recovery is expected to be gradual, and high valuations seen in 2021 might make businesses more cautious. In conclusion, the slow recovery of Canada's equity capital markets requires new businesses to exercise caution and strategize effectively. The market conditions demand careful planning and risk management to navigate the gradual recovery and leverage the existing investor demand.
Story First Published at: https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/bmo-says-worst-of-canada-equity-issue-slump-is-over
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