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The Dow Jones Industrial Average Continues its Historic Winning Streak
Reasons Behind the Dow's Momentum
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been experiencing a remarkable winning streak, with its 12th consecutive day of gains. This is the longest streak since 2017, and if it closes higher on Wednesday, it will match a streak not seen since 1987. During this run, the Dow has outperformed other indexes, gaining 6%. The primary reason behind this streak is the easing of recession fears, which has contributed to the market's positive momentum.
Easing of Recession Fears
Evidence of a recession is yet to be seen, and this has prompted investors to continue buying, resulting in the market's upward trend. Steve Eisman, senior portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman, mentioned in a recent CNBC interview that as long as there is no evidence of a recession, the market will likely continue its upward trajectory. The data showing a decrease in inflation has contributed to the easing of recession fears.
Strong Economic Data
Strong economic data, combined with weakening inflation numbers, has greatly benefited the Dow. Employment data indicates a resilient economy, as companies continue to hire at a steady pace. This positive economic outlook is particularly advantageous for the Dow due to the composition of its stocks. Many of the companies in the Dow are levered to an improving economy.
Robust Earnings Reports
The Dow has also received a boost from the strong quarterly reports of its individual members. Boeing shares rallied nearly 7% after the company reported a smaller-than-expected loss and higher-than-expected revenue. Coca-Cola's stock gained around 1% following the company's better-than-expected earnings report and raised full-year outlook. Industrial giant 3M also reported strong figures, with earnings and revenue exceeding analyst expectations, leading to a 5% increase in its stock price.
Dow's Price Weighted Average
The Dow's rally can also be attributed to its price weighted average, where stocks with higher share prices have a greater influence on the overall Dow level. This means that stocks like Goldman Sachs and UnitedHealth, with higher prices, have played a significant role in the Dow's recent gains.
Potential Historic Winning Streak
If the Dow continues to rise on Wednesday and Thursday, it will tie its longest-ever winning streak at 14. The last time the Dow achieved this feat was in 1897, just a year after its creation. Several factors, such as the easing of recession fears, strong economic data, and robust earnings reports, have contributed to the Dow's potential historic winning streak.
Conclusion: How the Dow's Winning Streak may Impact New Businesses
The Dow Jones Industrial Average's ongoing historic winning streak carries implications for new businesses in the current economic climate. The positive momentum in the Dow reflects investor confidence driven by several key factors, including the easing of recession fears, strong economic data, and robust earnings reports from individual companies.
For new businesses, the Dow's winning streak signifies a favorable investment environment, as investors continue buying in the absence of recessionary signals. This suggests that there may be increased opportunities to secure funding and support for new ventures. The strong economic data and steady employment figures further bolster the case for starting a business in this climate since a resilient economy can stimulate demand and offer a stable customer base.
Moreover, the robust earnings reports from companies within the Dow provide positive insights into various industries. Emerging businesses may draw inspiration from their success and learn from their strategies to improve their own growth prospects. The price weighted average effect observed in the Dow's rally underlines the importance of pricing and perception in influencing market performance. This underscores the need for new businesses to establish a competitive pricing strategy and understand the impact it can have on attracting investors and driving growth.
If the Dow achieves a historic winning streak, it can create a positive psychological impact on markets and potentially boost investor sentiment. This could result in increased risk appetite and a more active investment landscape, which might provide new businesses the opportunity to secure vital funding or partnerships. However, it is crucial for new businesses to closely monitor market trends and develop strategies that adapt to changing economic conditions, as volatility remains an inherent aspect of financial markets.
Overall, the Dow's winning streak sends promising signals for new businesses, indicating a favorable investment climate, strong economic fundamentals, and potential for market growth. By staying informed and leveraging the current market momentum, new businesses can position themselves to thrive in this period of economic optimism.
Article First Published at: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/26/the-dow-is-riding-its-longest-winning-streak-since-2017-heres-why.html