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Israel Exchange Finds No Irregular Trading Before October 7 Attack, Dismisses Short Seller Report as "Flawed"

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Tel Aviv Stock Exchange Dismisses "Flawed" Short Seller Report on Trading Ahead of October 7 Attack

The head of trading at the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange has criticized a recent research report that documented short selling activities prior to the October 7 terror attack in southern Israel. The report, titled "Trading on Terror?" and published on the Social Science Research Network, claimed a significant spike in short selling in the MSCI Israel exchange-traded fund on October 2. However, it was later discovered that the authors had initially cited price movements in shekels instead of agorot, leading to corrections in the report. Yaniv Pagot, head of trading at the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange, highlighted the currency issue and stated that the report contained numerous mistakes, including an incorrect claim about profits from short selling in the Israeli bank Leumi.

Disputing the Analysis

Pagot described the analysis as flawed and lacking an understanding of how the local market operates. He clarified that there was nothing unusual in short positions in the stock exchange in the two months leading up to the attack. The Tel Aviv Stock Exchange's response was focused solely on the portion of the report related to their exchange.

Regulatory Examination and Troubling Trading Patterns

The Israel Securities Authority conducted examinations and found that average short balances for shares traded on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange had actually declined in the period preceding October 7. The authors of the report, Joshua Mitts from Columbia Law School and Robert Jackson from New York University, highlighted troubling trading patterns that they believe warrant further investigation. They expressed hope that regulators in Israel and worldwide would continue to examine these patterns. In conclusion, the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange has criticized the research report on short selling activities prior to the October 7 attack, citing flaws in the analysis and a lack of understanding of the local market. The exchange emphasized that there was nothing unusual in short positions leading up to the attack. The authors of the report called for regulators to investigate the troubling trading patterns they identified.

Tel Aviv Stock Exchange Refutes Short Seller Report: Implications for New Business Ventures

The Tel Aviv Stock Exchange's dismissal of a recent report on short selling activities prior to the October 7 terror attack in southern Israel could have significant implications for new business formations. The report, published on the Social Science Research Network, alleged a spike in short selling in the MSCI Israel exchange-traded fund. However, Yaniv Pagot, the head of trading at the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange, has countered this claim, citing flaws in the analysis and a misunderstanding of the local market.

Understanding Market Dynamics

Pagot's dismissal of the report underscores the importance of a deep understanding of market dynamics for new businesses. The report's errors, including a currency issue that led to incorrect profit claims, highlight the potential pitfalls of misinterpreting market data. For new businesses, this serves as a reminder to ensure accuracy in market analysis and to understand the nuances of local market operations.

Regulatory Oversight and Market Behavior

The Israel Securities Authority's examination of short balances, which found a decline in the period preceding October 7, further challenges the report's claims. This regulatory oversight could influence new businesses' strategies, particularly in relation to short selling activities and market behavior. The call by the report's authors for further investigation into trading patterns also suggests that regulatory scrutiny could increase, impacting new business operations. In essence, the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange's refutation of the short seller report highlights the complexities of market dynamics and the importance of accurate analysis for new businesses. As regulators potentially heighten their scrutiny of trading patterns, new businesses must navigate these challenges to ensure successful operations.
Story First Published at: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/06/israel-exchange-chief-says-no-abnormal-trading-ahead-of-oct-7-attack.html
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